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Cisco’s Mobile VNI Forecast: What Does it All Mean?

Earlier this week, Cisco announced its latest Cisco Visual Networking Index Mobile Forecast, 2011-2016, from the Royal Opera House in London.

The report showed that global mobile Internet traffic is expected to grow 18-fold over the forecast period, reaching 130 exabytes annually by 2016 – the equivalent of 33 billion DVDs going across mobile networks every year.

But what does this significant growth of mobile traffic mean for mobile operators?  How will the changing mix of mobile devices and connections (such as smartphones, tablets and M2M) impact their networks, their businesses, and strategic partnerships?  We asked some of the industry’s most experienced and knowledgeable independent analysts and consultants to give us their perspectives.

To see the complete report, including global, regional and some country-level forecast projections, go to www.cisco.com/go/vni, and watch a VoD of the February 14, 2012 VNI Mobile event here.

Thanks as always for reading.

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The Mobile Data Tsunami

Cisco just released the 2012 edition of its mobile VNI* report, entitled Cisco VNI Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2011-2016.”

The report’s conclusion: a tsunami of mobile data traffic is headed our way, growing in size and speed through 2016 and likely beyond.  Over the next five years, mobile data traffic worldwide will grow 18-fold!

Read More »

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Full Speed Ahead Traffic to Increase 18X by 2016

Today in a global webcast from the Royal Opera House in London, we announced our annual Cisco Visual Networking Index Mobile Forecast, 2011-2016, to a global audience.  While some people may have been anticipating a decrease in mobile traffic considering the importance service providers are placing on mobile traffic offload and the tiered pricing plans being put in place for subscriber, just the opposite occurred.  Even in the face of those downward pressures along with the continuing economic uncertainties, the total amount of traffic in the forecast period is expected to soar 18-fold from 2011 to 2016, reaching 130 exabytes annually.  To put that amount into perspective, an exabyte is 10 to the 18th power of bytes which is a large number in its own right;  130 exabytes is the data equivalent of having 33 billion DVDs streamed in the airwaves around us each year. Read More »

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Touch and Feel IPv6 Wi-Fi!

Despite the “buzz” around IPv6 right now for many customers it’s not easy to actually test drive an IPv6 connection. When we got the opportunity to sponsor the Wi-Fi customer access at the 2012 v6 World Congress, we jumped at it. It became an opportunity to showcase both the simplicity and effectiveness of the Cisco Carrier Grade IPv6 (CGv6) solution. The CGv6 solution is the industry’s only IPv6 transition solution that has been performance tested and validated by a third party, in our case by EANTC.

Wi-Fi is a topic of particular interest to mobile operators Read More »

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Reflections on the Top Five Developments of 2011

It’s that time of year:  take a break, reflect, maybe clean up the hard drive.

I had a chance to do the reflection part last week, and came up with what I hope is a pretty good weave of what Service Providers experienced over the last 12 months.

Here is my ‘take’ on the top five trends of the whirlwind year that is still, for a week or two, 2011:

1.    In the crawl-walk-run sequence as it relates to the global shift to all-IP, 2011 went from “crawl” to “jog” — skipping “walk” entirely.

Think about it. Think about all of it, which is a lot, when it comes to the global transition to all-IP: Fixed networks; mobile Internet, Video, Cloud.

Across the world, wherever there is IP, there was monumental change in 2011. While 2010 was a year of anticipation and preparation, 2011 teemed with news and trends about the burgeoning Internet: more Video, more emphasis on mobile broadband; more work on keeping the “big iron” routing and switching fabrics around the world plumbed to keep up with demand.

We continued to do our best to keep up with the enormity of all-IP, with our ongoing VNI (Visual Networking Index) and Cloud Index forecasts. We’re still anticipating a quadrupling of Internet traffic by 2015, mostly because of video usage by mobile and “connected” IP devices. Lots more data here.

2.    Video (still) trumps as the biggest driver in Internet / IP usage. Read More »

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