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The Broadband Consumer Dilemma

I’m writing this en route back to Austin, flying at over 500 miles per hour at an altitude of 35,000 feet. And I’m really frustrated that the in-flight internet isn’t working.

It is truly absurd.

Not that it’s not working but that I “expect” to maintain constant connectivity while being in a flying can more than 6 miles up in the sky.

But I do.

I’m not proud of it…and even wince a bit because I recall a comedian who in a skit made fun of reactions like this…of people like me. [Editor’s note:  here’s a video clip of Louis C.K.’s comedy clip that Doug references.]

The challenge for providers is that I believe there are a lot of people like me.  Our level of expectation is pretty outrageous and only getting higher.  In a stadium with 100,000 other smartphone carrying people, the air is filled with complaints about mobile connectivity, with the complainers not giving thought to the fact that they are in the midst of effectively 1/7th the population of my city packed into a single square block and seemingly all of them are tweeting, foursquaring, or facebooking about that last great play (which, for the Longhorns, was last year, btw).  Trying to download a video around 9pm – the start of the Internet’s prime time as we covered last week – we complain about how “slow” the internet is, not giving any thought to the fact that the rest of the neighborhood is downloading a high-def movie too, or playing Halo, or having a video call.

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Cisco Validated Data Center Designs – Following Through to Success

With our local Giants baseball team doing so well Monday night in their journey to clinching the World Series title, I was reminded of the sports maxim of ‘Following through’. Whether it’s with a baseball bat swing, a basketball shot, or a kicking a soccer ball, a follow through is important to take what you started, taking your task through the motion, and setting yourself up for future success. We at Cisco would like to help you follow through with your goal of transforming your infrastructure into a flexible service delivery center and see you symbolically smiling from that winner’s podium raising that trophy.

Part of our strategy for enabling your success is providing validated design guides to deploying our next-generation infrastructure, including the Unified Computing System and Nexus switching family, to speed your journey to the Cloud market while simplifying the transition. We’ve tested these architectures inside our own data centers, with partners, and in customer field trials and have captured and documented best practices around what works (and what doesn’t) in live deployments. As always, these architectures are positioned within our solution frameworks, Unified Service Delivery for Service Providers and Data Center Business Advantage for Enterprises, and we are committed to delivering more value to these Cisco designs.

We publically released a validated design around the Virtualized Multi-Tenant Data Center (VMDC), which allows for the complete end-to-end Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS) management of your data center resources across compute, network, and storage. Recent developments include expanded scaling ability which extends support from hundreds to tens of thousands of virtual machines within a single data center. We believe this abstraction of raw resources is an important baseline for extending into the delivery of future applications and services while leveraging a common infrastructure.

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Looking Ahead: Part 4 – Announcing the 2010 Cisco VNI Usage Study

On Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday, we covered the findings of the 2010 Cisco VNI Usage Study – but today is a little different.  Come on, I know you.  We’ve been together in this corner of the blogosphere for awhile now…and I know you’re already looking ahead to the weekend (as am I, my Zettabyte-loving buddies). So in that anticipatory spirit, I think it is fitting that this final post on this study be forward-looking as well.

True, I did say in the first post, that Cisco VNI Usage is focused on the current trends while the Cisco VNI Forecast is focused on the future traffic growth over the next half decade – but these distinct research platforms are really more complementary than siloed.  That’s because we actually use the VNI Usage findings to help shape and refine the input assumptions for our VNI Forecast model.  Combined with ever-changing third-party subscription growth forecasts, VNI Usage guidance and validation helps us maintain the high level of credibility that our Forecast receives (per frequent and in-depth scrutiny from regulators and our customers).

Here are our main takeaways from the Cisco VNI team as we start to do advance work on the next revision of our Forecast:

When the two Cisco VNI research platforms are compared, there are several striking similarities:

  VNI Forecast VNI Usage
GB of Internet Traffic per Month per Connection in 2009 (Q3) 11.8 11.4*
GB of Internet Traffic per Month per Connection in 2010 (Q3) 15.6 14.9*
Growth in Internet Traffic per Month per Connection from 2009-2010 31.5% 30.7%*

The comparatively slight differences between VNI Usage results and VNI Forecast projections can be attributed to the source of the contributed  VNI Usage data (a random sampling of more than 20 global service providers), while the VNI Forecast effort is designed to be a comprehensive, worldwide model.  If we were to do a weighted average of providers based on the total number of broadband lines in their region, the VNI Usage numbers would likely be much higher as developed countries tend to consume more bandwidth than those countries with less developed infrastructure – but regardless, we were quite pleased to see the independent efforts come out so closely.

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Top Site Movers and Shakers: Part 3 – Announcing the 2010 Cisco VNI Usage Study

So, in the previous two blog posts, here and here, we covered the following results of the 2010 Cisco VNI Usage Study:

  • Q. How much broadband traffic global subscribers are generating?:
    A. 14.9 gigabytes per month, an increase of 31% from last year
  • Q. What applications are global subscribers using to consume that bandwidth?:
    A. Online video applications account for 26% of total global IP traffic
  • Q. When are global subscribers using network resources?:
    A. All the time, but especially during “Internet Prime Time” between 9pm and 1am (globally)

Now, let’s focus on Internet activity. How are people using the Internet and what sites are they visiting?

Here are a few takeaways that our VNI Usage study revealed:

  • Over one-third of the top 50 sites by volume are video sites, the largest percentage of any category. This makes sense since online video is now the top application used on the network.  However, on that list, there is a high degree of diversity among the video sites in the top 50, including video viewed on gaming consoles, Internet TV, short-form user-generated video, commercial video downloads, and video distributed via content delivery networks (CDNs). So it’s not just about Youtube, Megavideo, and Facebook, but sites that are optimized for longer form content too.

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Coffee with Shoptalk: Highlights from CTAM Summit, SCTE Expo

Contributed by Mark Palazzo, VP/GM for Cisco’s Cable Access Business Unit

On the last day of a New Orleans week that contained two major conventions – the Society of Cable Telecommunications Engineers’ (SCTE) annual Cable Tec-Expo, preceded by the Cable Television Association for Marketing’s (CTAM) Summit – early morning shop talk requires a strong cup of coffee.

That’s what prompted this impromptu chat between me and Leslie Ellis, Multichannel News columnist and winner of the 2010 SCTE/WICT Women in Technology award.

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