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Trade Test Teaches Important Lesson

Last night, the U.S. House of Representatives narrowly passed, 217-215, the U.S.-Central America-Dominican Republic Free Trade Agreement (so-called CAFTA-DR), H.R. 3045. Cisco and the U.S. tech industry supported passage of this bill, which the Senate also passed on June 30, 54-45. Now clear for signature into law by President Bush, implementation of this agreement will result in lowered tariffs on U.S. exports of tech products to CAFTA-DR countries, as well as liberalization of these countries’ telecommunications markets.

The politics of trade legislation have become increasingly complicated since the passage of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) in the early 1990s. Ever-increasing global competition and recent fears of offshore outsourcing have heightened political pressures. These politics were evident in last night’s vote: 15 Democrats joined 202 Republicans to pass the legislation. Disappointingly, none of the Silicon Valley members, except Rep. Richard Pombo (R-CA-11), voted in support of the bill.

While speaking with the press about this vote, Ralph Hellman, VP at the Information Technology Industry Council, emphasized that the tech industry needs to do a better job of educating the Congress about the benefits of trade, “It’s incumbent upon the tech community to register our disappointment with those [no-vote] members in a variety of ways but continue the education process about why trade is important so we can have their support on bigger deals down the road.” The U.S. Government is negotiating a number of bilateral, regional and multilateral trade deals, which will eventually come before the Congress for approval.

Looking forward, while congressional passage of CAFTA-DR was ultimately successful, it sends an important message to free trade supporters, like me, that more education and engagement must be done to increase bipartisan support for trade. We’ve got our work cut out for us…

Vlogging: the next big thing?

Read today’s New York Times story on video logging or “vlogging.” (Free registration required to access this site.)

I, of course, encourage adding all types of bits and bytes to the world wide web. It just so happens that much of that information flows over Cisco’s equipment, so it is ultimately good for our business, but I also think that more information is better than less information. Do I necessarily need to see a video post every day from a young man in England (see NYTimes story)? No, but I love creativity and I think this is a new canvas and a new medium and it takes all types of blogs and vlogs to build an audience.

Dial-up is good for e-mail, but not for streaming video, so vlogging is ultimately dependent on broadband – which will bring added benefits to education, healthcare and telecommuting. If vlogging can bring more people to the broadband world, then more power to it. Vlogging could very well be the new postcard, the new way for an elected representative to communicate with constituents, the new way for an executive to communicate with employees, or it could simply be the way for Ian Mills of Keynes, England to show his vlog of him drinking raw eggs or spinning around until he is dizzy. Regardless, it puts us in touch with our fellow human beings in a real and tangible way, which I think is a good thing.

Cisco Chairman John Morgridge Testifies Before U.S. House Science Committee

Yesterday, Cisco Chairman John Morgridge testified before the House Science Committee at a hearing entitled, “U.S. Competitiveness: The Innovation Challenge.” He was joined on the panel by the President of Johns Hopkins University, Dr. William Brody, and Mr. Nick Donofiro, EVP of Innovation and Technology at the IBM Corporation. All of the written testimony, the full webcast and the press release on the hearing can be viewed here.

Morgridge stated in his testimony, “It is becoming very clear that the United States can no longer take for granted our place as the global economic, technology, and innovation leader. There is much that government and industry can do to address this challenge, but we cannot be complacent in our response. We must recognize the challenge and take it head on if we hope to be successful.”

He suggested three areas where the U.S. should focus to keep the innovative and competitive spirit of the nation alive: 1) focus on education, particularly in K-12 math and science; 2) building appropriate physical insfrastructure, particularly ubiquitous broadband and new spectrum for wireless broadband; and 3) a proper legal framework, including a strengthened patent system and enforcement of existing intellectual property laws.

The hearing was well attended by members of the Committee, including two guest members of the Appropriations committee. All were generally on the same page that these are extremely important issues being addressed and that much more must be done to make other members of Congress aware of the vital importance of sufficiently funding long-term research and development, while also focusing on what can be done to encourage more students in math and science and help good teachers go and stay in these disciplines.

Chairman Boehlert quoted Mario Andretti at one point in referring to the deliberative nature of getting funding for important research and development projects, saying, “If you’re in control, you’re going too slow.”

I would encourage you to read Mr. Morgridge’s testimony, as well as the other testimony offered for this important hearing.

What was life like before all these 1’s and 0’s…

I was talking to my wife the other day about sending her dad some information and she said she would send it in the body of an e-mail rather than as an attachment. “He’s not the best at opening and reading attachments, but he can do e-mail like no other,” she said. I asked her when he retired to get a sense of his overall “IT quotient” and she said it was just as his company was beginning to use internal e-mail, so well before the IT explosion and ubiquitous connectivity and anytime, anywhere access to info, info, info, info, info…

I started using e-mail when I was working in the U.S. Senate in 1994. It was just internal and generally I could only communicate with the other staff on the committee that I worked for. By the time I left the Senate in 1995, we could communicate with other Senate offices and other Senate committees which we all thought was the biggest piece of magic imaginable. Now, with blackberry’s, Treo’s, IP phones, digital cameras, blogs, personal websites, etc. – it’s as if there is no end in sight for all those 1’s and 0’s. Some think that all this online communication makes life more impersonal…I would argue it makes it much more personal. Let me explain.

I’m not a phone person. I prefer e-mail to voicemail. I prefer a pithy e-mail to a phone conversation. I keep in touch MUCH MORE with my friends who I made post-email then those who I made pre-email. I posit that it is because it is easier to keep in touch with them because one of the methods of our relationship has always been e-mail. I can communicate with a dozen friends with one e-mail rather than making 12 phone calls – which I very much like. E-mail doesn’t replace voicemail or voice conversations, but it is a way to keep in touch and communicate freely when a phone conversation is not necessary.

I have not made it a secret that I recently married and that I went on a great honeymoon and that my wife is the best wife ever!! (Yes, she sometimes reads my postings.) Many, most of anyone reading this do not know me, but can get a sense of my thinking through this blog. Through these 1’s and 0’s that make up these letters and numbers.

So, here’s to 1’s and 0’s and staying in touch with friends and colleagues through e-mails, through personal websites, through blogs and through all things internet. Prediction: this internet thing is a connector of people and is here to stay.

Note: I was going through a computer upgrade today at work and was without connectivity for a teeth-grinding four hours which made me think about these things.

U.S. Independence Day 2005: What will life be like in another 229 years?

On July 4th, 2005, the United States celebrates its 229th birthday. As we approach Independence Day, it made me think of what our world will be like in another 229 years.

My best guess of what the world will look like in 2234 is as good as anybody's I guess, so here goes: My top 10 things that will be different in 2234 than 2005:

1. Indepedence from oil. Cold fusion will be solved and our power needs will be forever sated. As a result, the environment will be in a much happier state.

2. Average life expentency today is around, let's say 80 years, in 2234, it will be 120.

3. That little diagnostic health device thingy that Bones uses on Star Trek. It will be for real.

4. Everybody will speak English…or Spanish…or there will be a simultaneous translating mechanism that one can fit in one's ear that will allow anyone to communicate with anyone…not as far as Dr. Doolittle, but all the human languages.

5. The basketball hoop in the NBA will be 12 feet, instead of the 10 it is today.

6. There will still be a Kennedy in the U.S. Senate and a major third political party will have emerged in the U.S. and be on par with the Democrats and Republicans.

7. The European Union will be one of the five Superpowers in the world…along with the U.S., China/India, United African States, and United South American States. Russia will have joined the EU.

8. Technology will be seamless in all that we do. Keyboards will no longer exist. Information will be instantaneously available for the asking through small devices worn on the body.

9. Killing in the name of religion will finally be recognized as counter-intuitive.

10. President of the United States: Roy Disney. Vice President: Ted Williams.

My dad is a retired American history professor and he could paint a much better picture of what 1776 was like, but I just did a little web-surfing and thought the following was worth mentioning in the “Did you know?” category: We declared Independence from Britain in 1776, but it wasn't until 1783, with the signing of the Treaty of Paris, that the U.S. formally became a free and independent nation. In 2005, we have largely declared independence from wires for broadband in the office and at home, but will it take another seven full years before we can declare a truly mobile broadband system? Let's hope not. How's that for a botched technology segue?

And, yes, they do have July 4th in England, but they don't celebrate it. Happy 4th of July, U.S.!