Comments on: Wired or Wireless: Will the Distinction Matter? http://blogs.cisco.com/cle/wired-or-wireless-will-the-distinction-matter/ Tue, 21 May 2013 14:00:02 +0000 hourly 1 By: David H Deans http://blogs.cisco.com/cle/wired-or-wireless-will-the-distinction-matter/#comment-697393 David H Deans Thu, 13 Dec 2012 17:15:30 +0000 http://blogs.cisco.com/?p=95278#comment-697393 @Michael, thank you — once again — for taking the time to share your point of view.

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]]> By: Michael Elling http://blogs.cisco.com/cle/wired-or-wireless-will-the-distinction-matter/#comment-697387 Michael Elling Thu, 13 Dec 2012 14:56:08 +0000 http://blogs.cisco.com/?p=95278#comment-697387 There are several conflicting models merging under this model/vision: two-way voice, store and forward data and video. The latter is almost exclusively 1-way. But what happens when it is 2-way 4k video conferencing anywhere, anytime? The technology (and low cost) is there to do it today, ubiquitously.

What’s holding us back is the vertical integration of carriers. They cannot scale all layers in the stack across their limited market segments. The only reason the flaw isn’t more widely revealed is due to monopoly pricing and revenue streams.

The future will be horizontally scaled intranets in the lower, middle and upper layers. Importantly, settlement systems, in addition to controls and security, will be important in the middle layers. Without balanced settlements we can’t get new service introduction or centralized procurement for ubiquitous and universal service. The bill and keep tradition of the internet players won’t work. And it’s just a way for incumbents to keep new entrants out.

That’s the irony and paradox of the current ITU debate. The US position is flawed in that it limits new service introduction, while the latter approach is better even though they are trying to sustain monopolies. One is fighting the wrong battle and the other is fighting yesterday’s war.

Saying there is little difference between wired and wireless is meaningless. Thinking about and discussing the business model to get there is a better route.

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