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Cisco VNI Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2010 – 2015

Here’s a news flash – mobile data traffic is growing rapidly.

. . . Oh, you knew that already?

Well, bet you didn’t know HOW fast it’s growing.  

Really fast, actually.  Specifically, global mobile data traffic grew 4.2 times faster than global fixed broadband data traffic in 2010 according to. Cisco’s Visual Networking Index Mobile Data Traffic Forecast covering the period 2010 – 2015. 

A year ago, the Cisco VNI Mobile Data Traffic study predicted that global mobile data traffic would reach 3.6 exabytes by 2014 . . . and we thought that was fast.

Findings from the recently updated Cisco Mobile VNI include:

  • The annual global mobile data traffic will reach 6.3 exabytes per month, or an annual run rate of 75 exabytes, by 2015. That amount is the equivalent of 19 billion DVDs or 536 quadrillion SMS text messages or 75 times the amount of global Internet Protocol traffic (fixed and mobile) generated in the year 2000.
  • Global mobile data traffic increased 159 percent from calendar year 2009 to calendar year 2010 to 237 petabytes per month, or the equivalent of 60 million DVDs.
  • Global mobile data traffic grew 4.2 times as fast as global fixed broadband data traffic in 2010.
  • Global mobile data traffic in 2010 was three times the size of all global Internet traffic (fixed and mobile) in the year 2000.
  • According to the updated forecast, the Middle East and Africa will have the highest regional mobile data traffic growth rates, with a compound annual growth rate of 129 percent (63-fold growth) over the period. Latin America anticipates a 111 percent CAGR (42-fold growth), followed by Central and Eastern Europe, with a 102 percent CAGR (34-fold growth), and Asia-Pacific, with a 101 percent CAGR (33-fold growth). Western Europe is forecast to experience a 91 percent CAGR (25-fold growth); North America, an 83 percent CAGR (20-fold growth); and Japan, a 70 percent CAGR (14-fold growth).
  • India has the highest national mobile data traffic growth rate, with a CAGR of 158 percent (115-fold growth) for the forecast period, followed by South Africa, with a 144 percent CAGR (87-fold growth), and Mexico, with a 131 percent CAGR (66-fold growth). Comparatively, the United Kingdom will see an 84 percent CAGR (21-fold growth), and the U.S. an 83 percent CAGR (21-fold growth), according to the updated forecast.
  • In spite of the slow economic recovery in many regions, the demand for mobile services has remained constant, overall, and strong traffic growth continues globally.

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